How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Austria U21, at 48.6%. The other outcomes represent 51.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 27.1% · Draw: 24.2% · Away win: 48.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Wales U21 1465; Austria U21 1581. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–7. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · Tuesday, Oct 6 2026
· 16:30
Wales U21
Elo 1465
1
-
7
Austria U21
Elo 1581
FT
HT 1-3
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-116
Elo rating comparison
Wales U211465
Austria U211581
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Wales U21
—Draws
—Austria U21
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
49% conf.
CORRECT
Home
27%
Draw
24%
Away
49%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
24%
Draw
41%
Away
35%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
No
49%
Over 3.5 Goals
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.