How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Portugal U21, at 65.9%. The other outcomes represent 34.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 65.9% · Draw: 21.1% · Away win: 13%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Portugal U21 1785; Czech Republic U21 1608. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · Tuesday, Oct 6 2026
· 16:30
Portugal U21
Elo 1785
2
-
0
Czech Republic U21
Elo 1608
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Elo Advantage
+177
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Portugal U211785
Czech Republic U211608
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Portugal U21
2Draws
0Czech Republic U21
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
66% conf.
CORRECT
Home
66%
Draw
21%
Away
13%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Away Clean Sheet
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
10%
No
90%
Home Clean Sheet
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
No
49%
Double Chance 1X
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Double Chance X2
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Half-Time Result
49% conf.
CORRECT
Home
49%
Draw
33%
Away
19%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.