How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Czech Republic U21, at 49.7%. The other outcomes represent 50.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 49.7% · Draw: 23.5% · Away win: 26.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Czech Republic U21 1603; Bulgaria U21 1518. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · Wednesday, Sep 30 2026
· 16:00
Czech Republic U21
Elo 1603
vs
Bulgaria U21
Elo 1518
Home Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
+86
Elo rating comparison
Czech Republic U211603
Bulgaria U211518
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Czech Republic U21
—Draws
—Bulgaria U21
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
50% conf.
Home
50%
Draw
24%
Away
27%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
Home
43%
Draw
39%
Away
18%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Over 1.5 Goals
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Over 3.5 Goals
71% conf.
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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