How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Denmark U21, at 42.5%. The other outcomes represent 57.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 42.5% · Draw: 23.8% · Away win: 33.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Denmark U21 1672; Belgium U21 1646. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · Tuesday, Oct 6 2026
· 16:30
Denmark U21
Elo 1672
0
-
0
Belgium U21
Elo 1646
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
+26
Elo rating comparison
Denmark U211672
Belgium U211646
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Denmark U21
—Draws
—Belgium U21
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
42%
Draw
24%
Away
34%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
No
45%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
CORRECT
Home
32%
Draw
42%
Away
26%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.