How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Germany U21, at 72.5%. The other outcomes represent 27.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 13.8% · Draw: 13.7% · Away win: 72.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Malta U21 1162; Germany U21 1799. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · Wednesday, Sep 30 2026
· 16:00
Malta U21
Elo 1162
vs
Germany U21
Elo 1799
Home Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Away Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Elo Advantage
-637
Elo rating comparison
Malta U211162
Germany U211799
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Malta U21
—Draws
—Germany U21
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
73% conf.
Home
14%
Draw
14%
Away
73%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Clean Sheet
91% conf.
Yes
9%
No
91%
Double Chance 1X
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance X2
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
Half-Time Result
63% conf.
Home
14%
Draw
23%
Away
63%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
81% conf.
Yes
81%
No
19%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
66% conf.
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Home Win to Nil
100% conf.
Yes
0%
No
100%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.