How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Andorra U21, at 48.1%. The other outcomes represent 51.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 48.1% · Draw: 21.4% · Away win: 30.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Andorra U21 1323; Moldova U21 1389. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · Friday, Oct 2 2026
· 17:30
Andorra U21
Elo 1323
vs
Moldova U21
Elo 1389
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-67
Elo rating comparison
Andorra U211323
Moldova U211389
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Andorra U21
—Draws
—Moldova U21
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
Home
48%
Draw
21%
Away
31%
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
Yes
62%
No
38%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
Home
39%
Draw
39%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.