How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Netherlands U21, at 52.9%. The other outcomes represent 47.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 21.9% · Draw: 25.3% · Away win: 52.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Slovenia U21 1507; Netherlands U21 1727. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · Friday, Oct 2 2026
· 16:00
Slovenia U21
Elo 1507
vs
Netherlands U21
Elo 1727
Home Form (5)
0W
4D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-220
Elo rating comparison
Slovenia U211507
Netherlands U211727
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Slovenia U21
—Draws
—Netherlands U21
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
53% conf.
Home
22%
Draw
25%
Away
53%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Clean Sheet
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
Home
21%
Draw
40%
Away
39%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
Yes
68%
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
Yes
11%
No
89%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.