How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Greece U21, at 57.4%. The other outcomes represent 42.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 21.6% · Draw: 21% · Away win: 57.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Northern Ireland U21 1449; Greece U21 1604. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · Tuesday, Oct 6 2026
· 16:00
Northern Ireland U21
Elo 1449
0
-
1
Greece U21
Elo 1604
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-155
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Northern Ireland U211449
Greece U211604
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Northern Ireland U21
0Draws
2Greece U21
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
57% conf.
CORRECT
Home
22%
Draw
21%
Away
57%
Both Teams to Score
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Away Clean Sheet
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
CORRECT
Home
24%
Draw
36%
Away
40%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.