How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Slovakia U21, at 61.5%. The other outcomes represent 38.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 20.2% · Draw: 18.3% · Away win: 61.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Andorra U21 1322; Slovakia U21 1554. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · Tuesday, Oct 6 2026
· 17:00
Andorra U21
Elo 1322
1
-
2
Slovakia U21
Elo 1554
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
0W
3D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-232
Elo rating comparison
Andorra U211322
Slovakia U211554
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Andorra U21
—Draws
—Slovakia U21
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
61% conf.
CORRECT
Home
20%
Draw
18%
Away
61%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
No
29%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
23%
Draw
39%
Away
39%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.