How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Spain U21, at 75.2%. The other outcomes represent 24.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 13.1% · Draw: 11.7% · Away win: 75.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: San Marino U21 1104; Spain U21 1766. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · Thursday, Oct 1 2026
· 18:15
San Marino U21
Elo 1104
vs
Spain U21
Elo 1766
Home Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
-661
Elo rating comparison
San Marino U211104
Spain U211766
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—San Marino U21
—Draws
—Spain U21
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
75% conf.
Home
13%
Draw
12%
Away
75%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Clean Sheet
92% conf.
Yes
8%
No
92%
Double Chance 1X
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance X2
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
Half-Time Result
62% conf.
Home
14%
Draw
24%
Away
62%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
81% conf.
Yes
81%
No
19%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
66% conf.
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Home Win to Nil
100% conf.
Yes
0%
No
100%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.