How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Sweden U21, at 65.1%. The other outcomes represent 34.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 65.1% · Draw: 17.3% · Away win: 17.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sweden U21 1525; North Macedonia U21 1407. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · Monday, Oct 5 2026
· 16:30
Sweden U21
Elo 1525
vs
North Macedonia U21
Elo 1407
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
+119
Elo rating comparison
Sweden U211525
North Macedonia U211407
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Sweden U21
—Draws
—North Macedonia U21
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
65% conf.
Home
65%
Draw
17%
Away
18%
Both Teams to Score
66% conf.
Yes
66%
No
34%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf.
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Half-Time Result
49% conf.
Home
49%
Draw
36%
Away
14%
HT Both Teams Score
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
91% conf.
Yes
91%
No
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
70% conf.
Yes
70%
No
30%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
Yes
46%
No
54%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.