How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Croatia U21, at 49.0%. The other outcomes represent 51.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 27% · Draw: 24% · Away win: 49%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Ukraine U21 1590; Croatia U21 1664. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · Friday, Oct 2 2026
· 16:00
Ukraine U21
Elo 1590
vs
Croatia U21
Elo 1664
Home Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
-74
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Ukraine U211590
Croatia U211664
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Ukraine U21
0Draws
2Croatia U21
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
49% conf.
Home
27%
Draw
24%
Away
49%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
84% conf.
Yes
16%
No
84%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
Home
26%
Draw
39%
Away
34%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.