How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Belgium U21, at 67.7%. The other outcomes represent 32.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 67.7% · Draw: 20.6% · Away win: 11.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Belgium U21 1643; Wales U21 1468. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · Tuesday, Sep 29 2026
· 18:00
Belgium U21
Elo 1643
vs
Wales U21
Elo 1468
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
0L
Elo Advantage
+175
Elo rating comparison
Belgium U211643
Wales U211468
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Belgium U21
—Draws
—Wales U21
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
68% conf.
Home
68%
Draw
21%
Away
12%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Half-Time Result
52% conf.
Home
52%
Draw
35%
Away
13%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
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Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.