How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Hungary U21, at 67.8%. The other outcomes represent 32.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 67.8% · Draw: 17.8% · Away win: 14.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Hungary U21 1481; Lithuania U21 1365. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · Thursday, Oct 1 2026
· 17:00
Hungary U21
Elo 1481
vs
Lithuania U21
Elo 1365
Home Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Away Form (5)
0W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+116
Elo rating comparison
Hungary U211481
Lithuania U211365
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Hungary U21
—Draws
—Lithuania U21
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
68% conf.
Home
68%
Draw
18%
Away
14%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf.
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Half-Time Result
49% conf.
Home
49%
Draw
36%
Away
15%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
Yes
89%
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
67% conf.
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.