How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Italy U21, at 68.8%. The other outcomes represent 31.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 13.2% · Draw: 18.1% · Away win: 68.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Armenia U21 1237; Italy U21 1748. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · Thursday, Oct 1 2026
· 16:30
Armenia U21
Elo 1237
vs
Italy U21
Elo 1748
Home Form (5)
0W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Elo Advantage
-511
Elo rating comparison
Armenia U211237
Italy U211748
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Armenia U21
—Draws
—Italy U21
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
69% conf.
Home
13%
Draw
18%
Away
69%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Home Clean Sheet
90% conf.
Yes
10%
No
90%
Double Chance 1X
91% conf.
Yes
9%
No
91%
Double Chance X2
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
Half-Time Result
65% conf.
Home
14%
Draw
21%
Away
65%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
81% conf.
Yes
81%
No
19%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
63% conf.
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Home Win to Nil
94% conf.
Yes
6%
No
94%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.