How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is France U21, at 63.0%. The other outcomes represent 37.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 63% · Draw: 20% · Away win: 17%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: France U21 1670; Switzerland U21 1593. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 7–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · Tuesday, Oct 6 2026
· 17:00
France U21
Elo 1670
7
-
1
Switzerland U21
Elo 1593
FT
HT 3-0
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
+78
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
France U211670
Switzerland U211593
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0France U21
2Draws
0Switzerland U21
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
63% conf.
CORRECT
Home
63%
Draw
20%
Away
17%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
CORRECT
Home
45%
Draw
40%
Away
15%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.