How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is France U21, at 66.2%. The other outcomes represent 33.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 16.6% · Draw: 17.1% · Away win: 66.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Estonia U21 1235; France U21 1664. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · Tuesday, Sep 29 2026
· 16:00
Estonia U21
Elo 1235
0
-
2
France U21
Elo 1664
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
0W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-429
Elo rating comparison
Estonia U211235
France U211664
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Estonia U21
—Draws
—France U21
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
66% conf.
CORRECT
Home
17%
Draw
17%
Away
66%
Both Teams to Score
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
Away Clean Sheet
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Clean Sheet
92% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
8%
No
92%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance X2
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
Half-Time Result
56% conf.
CORRECT
Home
18%
Draw
26%
Away
56%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 1.5 Goals
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
90%
No
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
72%
No
28%
Over 3.5 Goals
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Home Win to Nil
97% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
3%
No
97%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.