How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Finland U21, at 65.7%. The other outcomes represent 34.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 18.2% · Draw: 16.1% · Away win: 65.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Kosovo U21 1417; Finland U21 1669. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–4. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · Tuesday, Oct 6 2026
· 17:00
Kosovo U21
Elo 1417
4
-
4
Finland U21
Elo 1669
FT
HT 2-1
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Elo Advantage
-253
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Kosovo U211417
Finland U211669
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Kosovo U21
2Draws
0Finland U21
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
66% conf.
WRONG
Home
18%
Draw
16%
Away
66%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Clean Sheet
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance X2
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
WRONG
Home
20%
Draw
34%
Away
46%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
97% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
3%
No
97%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.