How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Slovenia U21, at 47.2%. The other outcomes represent 52.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 47.2% · Draw: 24.3% · Away win: 28.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Slovenia U21 1507; Israel U21 1450. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–3. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · Tuesday, Sep 29 2026
· 14:00
Slovenia U21
Elo 1507
2
-
3
Israel U21
Elo 1450
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
0W
4D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+57
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Slovenia U211507
Israel U211450
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Slovenia U21
2Draws
0Israel U21
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
47% conf.
WRONG
Home
47%
Draw
24%
Away
29%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
CORRECT
Home
38%
Draw
43%
Away
19%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
WRONG
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.