How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Scotland U21, at 65.8%. The other outcomes represent 34.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 65.8% · Draw: 22.2% · Away win: 12%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Scotland U21 1521; Azerbaijan U21 1331. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · Wednesday, Sep 30 2026
· 18:30
Scotland U21
Elo 1521
vs
Azerbaijan U21
Elo 1331
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+191
Elo rating comparison
Scotland U211521
Azerbaijan U211331
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Scotland U21
—Draws
—Azerbaijan U21
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
66% conf.
Home
66%
Draw
22%
Away
12%
Both Teams to Score
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
Yes
40%
No
60%
Half-Time Result
48% conf.
Home
48%
Draw
37%
Away
15%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
60% conf.
Yes
40%
No
60%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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