How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Montenegro U21, at 43.9%. The other outcomes represent 56.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 34.2% · Draw: 21.9% · Away win: 43.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: North Macedonia U21 1407; Montenegro U21 1406. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · Thursday, Oct 1 2026
· 16:00
North Macedonia U21
Elo 1407
vs
Montenegro U21
Elo 1406
Home Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Away Form (5)
0W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+1
Elo rating comparison
North Macedonia U211407
Montenegro U211406
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—North Macedonia U21
—Draws
—Montenegro U21
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
44% conf.
Home
34%
Draw
22%
Away
44%
Both Teams to Score
63% conf.
Yes
63%
No
37%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
85% conf.
Yes
15%
No
85%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
Home
28%
Draw
39%
Away
34%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.