How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Montenegro U21, at 67.5%. The other outcomes represent 32.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 67.5% · Draw: 21% · Away win: 11.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Montenegro U21 1406; Armenia U21 1237. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · Monday, Oct 5 2026
· 14:30
Montenegro U21
Elo 1406
vs
Armenia U21
Elo 1237
Home Form (5)
0W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
+169
Elo rating comparison
Montenegro U211406
Armenia U211237
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Montenegro U21
—Draws
—Armenia U21
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
67% conf.
Home
67%
Draw
21%
Away
11%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf.
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
54% conf.
Yes
46%
No
54%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Half-Time Result
50% conf.
Home
50%
Draw
38%
Away
12%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
Yes
68%
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.