How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Faroe Islands U21, at 62.8%. The other outcomes represent 37.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 62.8% · Draw: 19.4% · Away win: 17.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Faroe Islands U21 1387; Luxembourg U21 1287. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · Wednesday, Sep 30 2026
· 16:00
Faroe Islands U21
Elo 1387
vs
Luxembourg U21
Elo 1287
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+100
Elo rating comparison
Faroe Islands U211387
Luxembourg U211287
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Faroe Islands U21
—Draws
—Luxembourg U21
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
63% conf.
Home
63%
Draw
19%
Away
18%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
89% conf.
Yes
11%
No
89%
Home Clean Sheet
60% conf.
Yes
40%
No
60%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Half-Time Result
51% conf.
Home
51%
Draw
33%
Away
16%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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