Predictions Premier League

Probabilities, statistical analysis and results for matches with available predictions.

◎1.4M+Historical matches analysed
◎900+Leagues worldwide
▦14Prediction markets
◇IAMachine learning models

Follow England’s top division with home, draw and away probabilities. Goals and both-teams-to-score estimates add context, but markets in the same match are not independent events.

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Matches with available predictions

Today and the next 7 days

No matches are scheduled in this competition in the next seven days.

Next scheduled match
Arsenal — Leeds

This date follows the received schedule and may change. Predictions are published as fixtures enter the analysis window and data becomes available.

Recent results and probabilities

Up to 10 most recent available matches
Time / LeagueMatch 1X2 Over 2.5BTTSTop probability
15:30Premier League20 Sep Fulham 1 Manchester United 1 21%4.7023%4.3656%1.79 57% 62% 56% View ›
13:00Premier League20 Sep Manchester City 5 Sunderland 3 74%1.3516%6.2510%10.11 64% 55% 74% View ›
13:00Premier League20 Sep Leeds 0 Crystal Palace 0 47%2.1326%3.8527%3.70 57% 60% 47% View ›
13:00Premier League20 Sep Bournemouth 0 Liverpool 1 22%4.5532%3.1246%2.18 62% 63% 46% View ›
14:00Premier League19 Sep Everton 1 Ipswich 0 49%2.0428%3.6123%4.28 48% 52% 49% View ›
14:00Premier League19 Sep Brighton 3 Arsenal 0 21%4.6826%3.8853%1.89 51% 51% 53% View ›
11:30Premier League19 Sep Tottenham 2 Aston Villa 3 48%2.1026%3.8226%3.82 60% 55% 48% View ›
19:00Premier League18 Sep Brentford 3 Chelsea 0 30%3.3929%3.4842%2.40 58% 56% 42% View ›
19:00Premier League14 Sep Leeds 4 Newcastle 1 38%2.6628%3.5234%2.94 50% 53% 38% View ›
15:30Premier League13 Sep Manchester United 0 Manchester City 1 25%4.0424%4.1951%1.95 63% 59% 51% View ›

How to interpret the analysis

1, X and 2 mean a home win, draw and away win. Over 2.5 goals means at least three goals; both teams to score requires a goal from each team.

Fair odds are the inverse of an estimated probability, not a bookmaker offer. A 60% probability implies fair odds of about 1.67 and still allows a 40% chance of a different outcome.

Read the methodology →

Coverage and limitations

The tables show fixtures with system predictions; when predictions are unavailable, we show the next fixture scheduled in our database. It is not a complete schedule or a live scores service. Displayed kickoff times are UTC.

Models can be wrong and do not guarantee profit. Overall accuracy alone does not measure performance in this competition or betting profitability.

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Matches and analysis by month

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How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.

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Verified performance

Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?

No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.