How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Brentford, at 52.0%. The other outcomes represent 48.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 52% · Draw: 27.3% · Away win: 20.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Brentford 2133; Sunderland 2002. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #670 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Saturday, Sep 5 2026
· 14:00
Brentford
Elo 2133
1
-
1
Sunderland
Elo 2002
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+131
H2H (1)
1H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Brentford2133
Sunderland2002
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
1Brentford
0Draws
0Sunderland
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
52% conf.
WRONG
Home
52%
@ 1.66
Draw
27%
@ 3.84
Away
21%
@ 5.01
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
@ 1.83
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Double Chance 1X
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
@ 1.17
No
17%
Double Chance X2
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
40%
@ 2.21
Draw
41%
@ 2.23
Away
19%
@ 5.11
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
71%
@ 1.37
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
@ 1.27
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
@ 1.86
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Recent results
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Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.