How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Fulham, at 37.7%. The other outcomes represent 62.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 37.7% · Draw: 26.8% · Away win: 35.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Fulham 2018; Crystal Palace 2022. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–3. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #670 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Saturday, Sep 5 2026
· 14:00
Fulham
Elo 2018
2
-
3
Crystal Palace
Elo 2022
FT
HT 2-1
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Elo Advantage
-4
H2H (4)
0H
0D
4A
Elo rating comparison
Fulham2018
Crystal Palace2022
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Fulham
0Draws
4Crystal Palace
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
WRONG
Home
38%
@ 2.26
Draw
27%
@ 3.39
Away
36%
@ 3.08
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Double Chance 1X
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
79%
@ 1.36
No
21%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
36%
@ 2.87
Draw
43%
@ 2.15
Away
20%
@ 3.57
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
@ 1.38
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
@ 1.28
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
@ 1.90
No
49%
Over 3.5 Goals
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Win to Nil
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.