How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Tottenham, at 37.9%. The other outcomes represent 62.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 34.2% · Draw: 27.9% · Away win: 37.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Nottingham Forest 2069; Tottenham 2027. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #670 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Saturday, Sep 5 2026
· 14:00
Nottingham Forest
Elo 2069
0
-
0
Tottenham
Elo 2027
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+42
H2H (3)
3H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Nottingham Forest2069
Tottenham2027
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
3Nottingham Forest
0Draws
0Tottenham
3 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
WRONG
Home
34%
@ 2.57
Draw
28%
@ 3.33
Away
38%
@ 2.69
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
36%
No
64%
Double Chance 1X
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
@ 1.45
No
27%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
@ 1.47
No
46%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
CORRECT
Home
33%
@ 3.18
Draw
42%
@ 2.09
Away
26%
@ 3.29
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
71%
@ 1.41
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
74%
@ 1.33
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Win to Nil
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.