Crystal Palace vs Ipswich

Premier League · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 · 14:00

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Crystal Palace, at 46.8%. The other outcomes represent 53.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 46.8% · Draw: 28.9% · Away win: 24.2%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Crystal Palace 2022; Ipswich 1956. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

90-minute result: 2–3. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #670 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

Premier League · Saturday, Sep 12 2026 · 14:00
Crystal Palace
Elo 2022
2 - 3
Ipswich
Elo 1956
FT HT 1-2
Home Form (5)
2W 1D 2L
Away Form (5)
3W 1D 1L
Elo Advantage
+66

Elo rating comparison

Crystal Palace2022
Ipswich1956

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

—Crystal Palace
—Draws
—Ipswich

0 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
47% conf. WRONG
Home
47%
@ 1.87
Draw
29%
@ 3.59
Away
24%
@ 3.97
Both Teams to Score
52% conf. WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
75% conf. CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Clean Sheet
72% conf. CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Double Chance 1X
73% conf. WRONG
Yes
73%
@ 1.23
No
27%
Double Chance X2
54% conf. CORRECT
Yes
54%
@ 1.89
No
46%
Half-Time Result
45% conf. WRONG
Home
34%
@ 2.47
Draw
45%
@ 2.19
Away
22%
@ 4.27
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf. WRONG
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf. CORRECT
Yes
71%
@ 1.37
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf. WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
71% conf. CORRECT
Yes
71%
@ 1.28
No
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf. WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 3.5 Goals
78% conf. WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf. CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%

How to read these predictions

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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