How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Tottenham, at 38.9%. The other outcomes represent 61.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 38.9% · Draw: 33.2% · Away win: 27.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Tottenham 2027; Everton 2045. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #670 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Saturday, Sep 12 2026
· 16:30
Tottenham
Elo 2027
0
-
0
Everton
Elo 2045
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
-18
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Tottenham2027
Everton2045
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Tottenham
0Draws
0Everton
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
39%
@ 1.99
Draw
33%
@ 3.48
Away
28%
@ 3.64
Both Teams to Score
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
@ 1.72
No
50%
Away Clean Sheet
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
@ 1.28
No
28%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
@ 1.77
No
37%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
CORRECT
Home
34%
@ 2.58
Draw
40%
@ 2.17
Away
27%
@ 4.10
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
74%
@ 1.38
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
78%
@ 1.29
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Over 3.5 Goals
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Win to Nil
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.