How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Chelsea, at 56.8%. The other outcomes represent 43.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 56.8% · Draw: 23.5% · Away win: 19.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Chelsea 2136; Tottenham 2026. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 16:30
Chelsea
Elo 2136
0
-
2
Tottenham
Elo 2026
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Elo Advantage
+111
H2H (4)
2H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Chelsea2136
Tottenham2026
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Chelsea
0Draws
2Tottenham
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
57% conf.
WRONG
Home
57%
@ 1.82
Draw
23%
@ 3.90
Away
20%
@ 3.85
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
62%
@ 1.53
No
38%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
WRONG
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
@ 1.25
No
25%
Double Chance X2
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
41%
@ 2.33
Draw
39%
@ 2.41
Away
20%
@ 4.00
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
70%
@ 1.27
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
@ 1.16
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
@ 1.58
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.