How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Brentford, at 54.8%. The other outcomes represent 45.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 24% · Draw: 21.2% · Away win: 54.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Hull City 1889; Brentford 2138. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 14:00
Hull City
Elo 1889
1
-
1
Brentford
Elo 2138
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-249
Elo rating comparison
Hull City1889
Brentford2138
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Hull City
—Draws
—Brentford
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
55% conf.
WRONG
Home
24%
@ 4.51
Draw
21%
@ 3.87
Away
55%
@ 1.72
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
@ 1.65
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Clean Sheet
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
@ 1.19
No
29%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
24%
@ 4.61
Draw
39%
@ 2.34
Away
37%
@ 2.22
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
@ 1.32
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
@ 1.20
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
@ 1.71
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
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Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.